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Call For Nominations for the VvS+OR Thesis Awards

9th of January 2018
Deadline is January 21, 2018 for both the Jan Hemelrijk Award and the Willem R. van Zwet Award. Read more...

Climate Change, Statistics, and Operations Research

8th of January 2018
Save the date! The Annual Meeting 2018 is on Climate Change, 28-29 March, Jaarbeurs Utrecht. More information will follow soon. Read more...

Werk mee aan internationale normen voor statistische methoden voor Six Sigma, QFD en SPC

18th of December 2015
Voldoet mijn product aan kwaliteitseisen? Hoe kan ik mijn processen efficiënter maken? Sluit mijn product aan bij de wensen van de klant of andere stakeholders?   Read more...

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End of an SIR epidemic on a configuration model network

Where:  room 610 Hans Freudenthal building (Budapestlaan 6, Utrecht).
When:  25th of September 2017 tot 20th of September 2017
Starttime  11:00
Next Monday we have another talk in the Utrecht Stochastics Seminar.
 
Date: Monday, September 25, 2017
Time:  11:00 - 11:45
Location: room 610 Hans Freudenthal building (Budapestlaan 6, Utrecht).
 
Speaker: Pieter Trapman (Stockholm university)
 
Title: End of an SIR epidemic on a configuration model network
 
Abstract: We consider an SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) epidemic on a static (configuration model) random graph. We describe the final stages of the epidemic and analyse the time until extinction of the epidemic. Furthermore, we consider the effect of control measures, such as vaccination on the duration of the epidemic. The analysis heavily relies on theory on branching processes. 


We show that the epidemic is always exponentially declining in the final stages, even if the degree distribution of the network has infinite variance. We also show that control measures, although decreasing the size of the epidemic, might well increase the duration of the epidemic, which might have serious public health and economic implications. 

Joint work with Ana Serafimovic and Abid Ali Lashari

More information:  [comment]
Telephone:  [rooster_phone]
e-mail: 

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Climate Change, Statistics, and Operations Research

Jaarbeurs
28th of March 2018 - 29th of March 2018 Read more...


7th Stochastic Modelling meeting (StochMod 2018)

13th of June 2018 - 15th of June 2018 Read more...

ACM SIGMETRICS FOR 2018

Irvine, California, USA
18th of June 2018 - 22nd of June 2018 Read more...


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